Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46049d5dea1c375451856bccf510f8374c302a1dccd7439d7fdec2527b6c188a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 29c | 20,026$5,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866.09 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 8,970$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.2 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 71c | 8,134$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked No | 72c | 8,056$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 6,107$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.58 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 71c | 4,049$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.09 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 4,018$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 73c | 3,804$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 2,579$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.45 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 71c | 2,063$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.51 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,886$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.96 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,679$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.51 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 1,564$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.23 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 64c | 1,562$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.5 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,464$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.57 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 1,050$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 981.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 929.72$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 71c | 900$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 14c | 857.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 9c | 849.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 71c | 778.98$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.9 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 31c | 708.66$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…911fbacked Yes | 29c | 679.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 642$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 36c | 500.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 481.87$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 71c | 460$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.58 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 397.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…340bbacked No | 73c | 372.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 27c | 315.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 282.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 28c | 256.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 251.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 234.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 169$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 164.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…6d1fbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 21c | 146.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…78dcbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf428…9365backed Yes | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 72c | 126.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 76c | 125.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 80c | 125.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 72c | 124.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 31c | 122.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…8933backed No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 30c | 110.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 108.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 27c | 107.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 27c | 107.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 72c | 104.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 28c | 99.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 72c | 99.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 89.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed Yes | 26c | 81.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…030bbacked No | 71c | 80.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7817…c596backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…bab3backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 79.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked No | 74c | 78.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 69c | 69.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 69.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e60fbacked No | 71c | 63.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…95b3backed No | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed No | 72c | 41.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…5549backed No | 72c | 39.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 72c | 36.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 32c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…f71abacked Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 71c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed No | 72c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Yes | 31c | 34.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed No | 72c | 33.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.