TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No76c16,886$12,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.667255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c5,293$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.263,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes24c5,114$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.415440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes25c5,056$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes24c4,046$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.062133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c4,040$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.721,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes24c3,366$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.8126445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No75c2,974$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.563073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No76c2,599$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.724264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes24c1,643$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No74c1,188$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.752369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes35c1,163$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.215246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No77c1,158$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8328345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24014447.9%69 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No77c623.38$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.381050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c599.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6864043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes23c487.64$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.781,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes23c399.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8842046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c378.39$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.629855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes44c360.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.272552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No56c359.51$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.126232.3%20 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No78c336.61$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.364257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No63c315.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.766564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No65c307.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.584759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c299.97$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6819458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c286$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7611356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No75c247.6$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.95349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No45c239.28$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.262965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No76c206$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4415747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5638845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No77c199.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.367455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes37c183.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.314327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes26c155.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No65c153.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.825358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No65c153.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.756264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No65c153.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.755457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No65c152.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.76862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c151$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2462452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.511354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c121.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.222,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c116.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6139857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3907…dfbbbacked Yes19c107.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2416846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248458.3%49 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes51c95.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.346665.2%43 W · 23 L+12.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No75c93.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.894153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes18c90.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.245341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6833…2011backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No74c83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9514755.8%82 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed No52c79.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.782070%14 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No65c78.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8414055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32c0…c82cbacked No65c76.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No64c76.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.221369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.258844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes24c74.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.913735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes24c71.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.137538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes24c60.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No76c60.17$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4420251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c57.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8843532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc67…6f13backed No76c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No72c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.963557.1%20 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No74c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.475064%32 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No39c51.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.535653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…acfcbacked Yes24c50.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes26c49.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132119%4 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.75648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No76c44.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6311338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No76c41.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1038646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73d…b089backed No64c30.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecd…5d94backed No65c30.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No77c25.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.825152.9%27 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No60c20.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.233737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa554…f71abacked No65c17.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9369…c867backed No77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.991080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.