La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x909db0ea79c78afd02cc8a5635e2012fdaa5f57ce8361ffe231ee2f7eb1398f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,613,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,889,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,613,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 683 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed No | 46c | 786,308$362,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362,878.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 54c | 250,000$134,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,500 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 129,629$69,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,405.48 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 56c | 99,621$56,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,518.68 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 57c | 74,297$42,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,157.78 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 54c | 72,832$39,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,502.77 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 52,606$28,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,821.58 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 56c | 48,210$26,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,212.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 33,958$14,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,262.27 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 44c | 26,710$11,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,752.3 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 56c | 23,917$13,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,418 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 54c | 19,000$10,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,679.98 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed No | 44c | 16,893$7,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,504.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 44c | 14,700$6,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,468 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 57c | 14,659$8,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,303.47 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 43c | 13,076$5,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.68 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 54c | 12,993$7,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,976.67 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 12,244$6,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.43 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 44c | 11,099$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883.65 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Yes | 58c | 10,796$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Yes | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 79c | 9,644$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.21 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 58c | 8,586$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Yes | 54c | 8,092$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked No | 46c | 7,800$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 42c | 7,754$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 43c | 7,434$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 58c | 6,552$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 43c | 6,423$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,791.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 47c | 5,275$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 1c | 5,210$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 42c | 4,980$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.52 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 46c | 4,725$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 54c | 4,682$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.26 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 55c | 4,432$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.29 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 54c | 3,939$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.04 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…c2c6backed No | 42c | 3,286$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 44c | 2,910$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 54c | 2,800$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.99 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…b6abbacked No | 42c | 2,752$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 53c | 2,624$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.85 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 44c | 2,621$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.23 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 2,547$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.37 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Yes | 75c | 2,529$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 79c | 2,519$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.3 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 67c | 2,451$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.89 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 2,311$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.61 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.46 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Yes | 56c | 2,220$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 55c | 2,211$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed No | 42c | 2,202$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.66 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 2,155$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.64 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 56c | 2,002$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.08 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 75c | 1,986$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a5…dd82backed Yes | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 54c | 1,877$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.87 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d271backed No | 42c | 1,862$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 43c | 1,814$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 40c | 1,794$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.59 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.99 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 62c | 1,771$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.16 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 54c | 1,759$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.26 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 1,740$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.65 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 1,739$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…bba5backed No | 42c | 1,720$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 15c | 1,708$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 57c | 1,704$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.22 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f81…9a0dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,682$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Yes | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +397.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 53c | 1,611$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed No | 9c | 1,476$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 77c | 1,422$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 43c | 1,340$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 45c | 1,229$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.49 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 24c | 1,191$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed No | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,111$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.4 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.62 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 57c | 1,058$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed No | 1c | 1,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.