La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703973c8c9e1337bd3e4e045ea58efef8dbd147c86cd08142f0b02de3456fe6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 19c | 22,646$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.48 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 80c | 6,332$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.41 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Yes | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 34c | 1,459$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 72c | 1,321$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.02 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 1,109$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.62 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 863.85$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 813.57$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 7c | 704.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 42c | 587.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 77c | 560$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 62c | 548.39$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 535.19$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 23c | 504.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 37c | 503.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 63c | 432$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 399.94$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 76c | 340.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 78c | 267.02$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 215.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 212.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 192$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…ee29backed No | 78c | 173.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 80c | 168.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 238 | 43.3%103 W · 135 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 78c | 166.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…31d1backed Yes | 23c | 160.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 153.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 151.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…78d3backed No | 78c | 147.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 57c | 135$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 22c | 119.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…05a3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 25c | 89.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 71c | 86.76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 22c | 82.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 58.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed No | 62c | 53.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No | 60c | 40.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 25c | 40.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 36.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 35.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 80c | 30.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 39c | 25.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…a5f7backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 78c | 18.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.