TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,818,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,796,571

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,818,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 590 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed No31c2,347,841$725,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725,727.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Yes71c1,150,701$811,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339,011.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes68c476,942$326,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,236.6113748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes69c215,500$148,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,51016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes69c189,525$129,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,594.851942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No28c182,655$51,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,143.4420140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c112,268$77,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,265.842,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes68c100,000$68,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,0002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes69c100,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,00024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No30c77,823$23,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,100.7212847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed No33c75,758$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No30c73,346$21,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,896.777653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes70c57,011$40,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,962.856,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes69c49,094$34,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,011.462,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No28c44,639$12,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,615.4218253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked No28c34,633$9,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,697.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed Yes69c34,091$23,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,727.714546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Yes68c30,000$20,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,498.191250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No27c28,000$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,56031944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31e0…94b0backed Yes69c22,431$15,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,953.681060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes67c20,000$13,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6005337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes69c19,222$13,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,997.5413353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No28c19,200$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3767450%37 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed No28c18,925$5,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,29930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d3…0560backed No28c18,700$5,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,23630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb2…e495backed No28c18,045$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No28c17,857$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed Yes70c14,444$10,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.22626.9%7 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No24c14,367$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.6610455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No1c14,362$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.867138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No0c12,950$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93119.4%6 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No28c11,500$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2001947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eed…64c2backed Yes71c11,300$8,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2771833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes69c11,000$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No29c10,693$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0532437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes70c10,000$6,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0505242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2adb…3088backed No28c9,965$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes69c9,956$6,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes69c9,000$6,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7803557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No30c8,350$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.8913630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes71c8,235$5,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.6467042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes71c7,675$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.155038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No28c7,519$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.594141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes67c7,500$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4752356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked No30c6,983$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0953132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed No31c6,747$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.461040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked No1c6,715$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.32821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes71c6,645$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No29c6,447$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.73357.6%19 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+52.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes72c6,412$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.5775542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No1c6,272$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.632437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes69c6,234$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.221,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Yes70c5,923$4,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.573650%18 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes69c4,482$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.8269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes69c4,348$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.831361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…aa8dbacked No28c4,200$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…e110backed No28c4,163$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.771040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No27c4,100$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.993842.1%16 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked No28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No29c3,917$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.0510743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes70c3,913$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.96737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Yes68c3,753$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.388259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No25c3,250$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80034428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked No28c3,092$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e39…3e17backed Yes70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.976660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes70c2,933$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.2884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes70c2,855$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.512949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.95646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes70c2,782$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.2514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes69c2,636$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.1840655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes70c2,600$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.6755351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes79c2,565$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No31c2,555$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.0532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes70c2,451$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.535850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No29c2,410$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.8941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes71c2,222$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes70c2,213$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.864845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa525…ad1ebacked No28c2,154$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes70c2,138$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.223080%24 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes70c2,074$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No28c2,031$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes70c2,005$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.4658446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6402544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes71c2,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes72c1,980$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.43151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked No27c1,929$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.68043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…fe01backed Yes69c1,916$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes80c1,876$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6414658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe988…cf23backed No28c1,863$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.531241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes71c1,831$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf110…7f8bbacked No28c1,777$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x627e…f59fbacked No28c1,763$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.571040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes68c1,756$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.39451.1%48 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No9c1,754$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.67129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No16c1,728$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7310634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.