TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked No80c29,587$23,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,917.4338649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c27,030$5,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,215.312,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes19c10,722$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.52316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes20c7,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes20c7,421$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.7440655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes19c6,282$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c4,346$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.236,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes5c4,097$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.117129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes20c3,980$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.0930057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c1,989$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6819239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes19c1,777$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.1729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes19c1,763$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes19c1,650$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes2c1,167$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1906743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes19c921.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes18c823.62$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c779.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked No80c717.67$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.531233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes10c716.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.161,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c9…ca41backed Yes3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes11c621$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3110634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c586.58$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5554340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes21c579.5$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.718748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes5c553.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.554429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes19c537.63$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.152133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006527.7%18 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010950.5%55 W · 54 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes16c440.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.748442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x244b…65a4backed Yes20c404.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes20c361.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2322125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd93…31d1backed Yes20c352.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes19c343.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+70.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes11c299.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes19c276.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.535941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1565…3a47backed Yes20c257$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes5c247.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.193336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…6c15backed No80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No79c243.54$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.147061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes18c215.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes19c199.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked Yes19c172.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202313%3 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa23…7afabacked Yes20c159.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.97944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf89…0fb1backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302035%7 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba8…958dbacked Yes13c138$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab64…a24abacked Yes11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81be…a441backed Yes13c102$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Yes10c100.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.028037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e91…91a4backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538c…b147backed Yes19c97.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes21c95.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes19c94.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9418352.5%96 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe779…059cbacked Yes22c91.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes13c82.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.025543.6%24 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f0…186cbacked Yes26c79.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.033119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed6c…d0bbbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Yes19c65.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes20c58.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.617648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes19c58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0212854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No73c54.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes19c52.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-74.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021250.9%108 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb36…06c8backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b6…a412backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d5…1103backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…ca9dbacked Yes21c48.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3797…8be6backed No79c36.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.843961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No75c28.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.24963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No78c23.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.175763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked No79c19.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.