TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbba8…958d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+687.4%+$460.56
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.34
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$510.16
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$30.24
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$13.9
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$199.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Sharks vs. Penguinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,491.1
Predators vs. Hurricanesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$452.47
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+82.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+175.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+279.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$33.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $190?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$130.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.