TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Over45c56,635$25,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,442.695349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under55c18,237$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,237.42240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c10,083$5,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.112,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6006165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1505550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7004971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5756365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c3,067$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.0498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3505862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under54c2,332$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.072650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,887$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.2768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under55c1,300$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5856369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under55c1,300$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5856170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over31c1,293$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3966328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Under53c1,022$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae8…cb64backed Over57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under55c900$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4056666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c700$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c619.45$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under55c584$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.82378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under55c573$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.858360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under55c559.22$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.657358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under56c539.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over44c522.73$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.0wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c459.3$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.781,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c454$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.338547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c454$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under56c446$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.243020%6 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under28c401.21$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.87650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-52.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c351.04$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4141144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c246.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6115354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c228.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3932854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Under55c215$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc4…5a94backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c172$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5742347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under54c154.72$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4521548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.515459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c147$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under40c133$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.83748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Over46c126.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over55c119.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c118.63$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under58c109.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over55c105.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over43c103.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0111547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4612357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Over45c91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.95650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05b…3bf2backed Under75c86.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over37c84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.46950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under54c68.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.421748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over46c68.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3913653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over49c67.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over41c64.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.392536%9 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Under77c64.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.513752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.643145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over34c60.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under58c57.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1819154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under67c52.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4231051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2114845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.518459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c43.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2027453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.782825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.