Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29abdcc1e003bdfa4149e78f5e28a461703e09c74594fb72e69369057ad23f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 15c | 544.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 517.68$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 433.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 76c | 195.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 77c | 91.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 24c | 72.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 75c | 50.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked Under | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.