Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ac0fbcef9b8f79036607e4c3a376a900467f13358570f5889cb4f51ed8717c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,823$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,041$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.57 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 28c | 900$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over | 60c | 834$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 24c | 581.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 70c | 570.24$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 53c | 559.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.3 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 11c | 529.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 465$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 76c | 383.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 72c | 318.79$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 63c | 314$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…9d9ebacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 69c | 290.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 70c | 251.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 224.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Over | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 132.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 105.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 101.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 63c | 99.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…ae23backed Over | 57c | 86.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Over | 61c | 80.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 66c | 72.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 16c | 66.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c74…14a4backed Over | 79c | 63.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 22c | 52.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…9dcebacked Over | 49c | 31.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 80c | 28.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…4363backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 78c | 27.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 72c | 22.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Over | 63c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…27a3backed Over | 71c | 14.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.