Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ef780cd1de67d414d3b2c5ff64fa62839aefd5ce3dafca8405d63409fb9c19b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 14,254$8,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,163.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 44c | 13,802$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 40c | 1,780$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.06 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 56c | 1,376$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.55 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 550.66$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 56c | 419.19$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.66 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 18c | 299.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 211.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 52c | 167.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 96.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 95.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…1770backed Yes | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 51c | 62.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked Yes | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 43.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 58c | 41.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 56c | 35.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 60c | 33.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f1…2c1cbacked Yes | 53c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 56c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.