TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd36…873b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
747
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT40539.3%159 W · 246 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 405 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.6
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$89
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156%+$97.5
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+218%+$137.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$66
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$42
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+182.1%+$71
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Showing 25 of 405 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT24648.8%120 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 246 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+296%+$59.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$98.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+70%+$24.7
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$56.8
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.86
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.99
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.17
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Showing 25 of 246 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$69.75
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$112.04
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$48
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$296
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.