CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a9e1c910b0938abf010cde694578a21437ebbf2a8d33fa773e21297c27ede7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,265,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,398,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,265,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 611 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 29c | 71,621$20,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,543.05 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed NIP | 43c | 52,694$22,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,834.23 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed NIP | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed NIP | 45c | 43,373$19,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,517.95 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.92 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Astralis | 54c | 26,726$14,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,293.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Astralis | 54c | 23,960$12,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,061 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 46c | 23,274$10,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,706.03 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Astralis | 55c | 21,818$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,818.18 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed NIP | 45c | 21,600$9,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,798.8 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Astralis | 56c | 20,942$11,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,122 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Astralis | 73c | 18,758$13,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Astralis | 60c | 18,727$11,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,475.9 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Astralis | 55c | 17,474$9,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,863.27 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NIP | 44c | 13,884$6,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,151.88 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis | 54c | 12,852$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.75 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Astralis | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed NIP | 29c | 11,565$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.91 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed NIP | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Astralis | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed NIP | 20c | 9,990$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.82 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked NIP | 47c | 9,704$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.5 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Astralis | 76c | 9,591$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.11 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 33c | 9,514$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.8 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked NIP | 42c | 9,503$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…5d1abacked NIP | 46c | 8,416$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.13 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 56c | 8,232$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.71 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c890backed NIP | 45c | 7,963$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 78c | 7,513$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis | 78c | 7,460$5,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.2 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 30c | 7,244$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.74 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed NIP | 46c | 6,808$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.73 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed NIP | 25c | 6,243$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Astralis | 55c | 5,818$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.18 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f706backed Astralis | 56c | 5,537$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Astralis | 56c | 5,305$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Astralis | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed NIP | 21c | 4,972$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.05 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 73c | 4,350$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.66 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 56c | 4,230$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.2 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…72b0backed Astralis | 55c | 4,210$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Astralis | 65c | 4,125$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.89 | 236 | 58.5%138 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Astralis | 56c | 4,117$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.73 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa931…1387backed Astralis | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Astralis | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed NIP | 44c | 3,943$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.02 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Astralis | 55c | 3,783$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.5 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed NIP | 45c | 3,700$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Astralis | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.92 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NIP | 26c | 3,679$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.46 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Astralis | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked NIP | 28c | 3,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Astralis | 57c | 3,350$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.49 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Astralis | 62c | 3,268$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.34 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d0…1b91backed Astralis | 56c | 3,181$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Astralis | 61c | 3,006$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.84 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Astralis | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Astralis | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed Astralis | 73c | 3,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Astralis | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed NIP | 33c | 2,964$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NIP | 13c | 2,775$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.92 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed NIP | 45c | 2,696$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.16 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked NIP | 36c | 2,523$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Astralis | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed NIP | 43c | 2,392$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.56 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 19c | 2,344$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.17 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Astralis | 57c | 2,342$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.35 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed NIP | 25c | 2,250$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.88 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed NIP | 47c | 2,213$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.07 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed NIP | 46c | 2,193$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.77 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked NIP | 46c | 2,178$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.22 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Astralis | 58c | 2,130$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.91 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 56c | 2,109$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.14 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Astralis | 55c | 2,104$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.8 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Astralis | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NIP | 25c | 2,070$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.9 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NIP | 36c | 2,025$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.86 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Astralis | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked Astralis | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Astralis | 68c | 1,902$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.73 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked NIP | 44c | 1,901$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.25 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked NIP | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Astralis | 56c | 1,799$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Astralis | 51c | 1,777$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.73 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed Astralis | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed NIP | 46c | 1,691$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.72 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed NIP | 45c | 1,686$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 18c | 1,573$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.56 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Astralis | 57c | 1,568$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.16 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed NIP | 20c | 1,547$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.4 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Astralis | 57c | 1,529$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.38 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed NIP | 44c | 1,516$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.18 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Astralis | 55c | 1,509$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.05 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked NIP | 46c | 1,509$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Astralis | 56c | 1,501$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.64 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Astralis | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Astralis | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.