CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaae790e6d4aaae7bbf7679ab993fc6928ab4c521258a779a51135276043d1404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Astralis, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $969,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,067,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed NIP | 38c | 66,084$25,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,708.85 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed NIP | 74c | 24,039$17,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.41 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Astralis | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked NIP | 36c | 16,544$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,588.16 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed NIP | 53c | 13,396$7,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.96 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed NIP | 75c | 12,570$9,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP | 55c | 12,349$6,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.5 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Astralis | 23c | 12,034$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.9 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 62c | 11,457$7,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,141.85 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed NIP | 52c | 11,000$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 47c | 10,944$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.58 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis | 61c | 10,055$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.28 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Astralis | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Astralis | 47c | 9,544$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.94 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Astralis | 63c | 8,847$5,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.33 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Astralis | 55c | 8,315$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.88 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Astralis | 71c | 8,200$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 66c | 6,161$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.01 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Astralis | 2c | 6,084$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP | 47c | 5,883$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.04 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked NIP | 60c | 5,679$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.03 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 53c | 5,309$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.01 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Astralis | 65c | 5,270$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.37 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NIP | 47c | 5,139$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.33 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Astralis | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed Astralis | 50c | 5,000$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.46 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked NIP | 60c | 4,717$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.41 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Astralis | 46c | 4,612$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 44c | 4,543$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.23 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Astralis | 66c | 4,464$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.73 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Astralis | 56c | 4,447$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.38 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 36c | 4,271$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.73 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed NIP | 50c | 4,021$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.16 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 55c | 4,020$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.74 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed NIP | 69c | 3,858$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.94 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Astralis | 65c | 3,700$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.91 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Astralis | 56c | 3,569$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 236 | 58.5%138 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f706backed Astralis | 63c | 3,479$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Astralis | 53c | 3,419$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.32 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked NIP | 31c | 3,342$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.75 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Astralis | 52c | 3,253$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.79 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Astralis | 64c | 3,140$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.76 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Astralis | 58c | 3,106$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.21 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…bd96backed Astralis | 70c | 3,002$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed Astralis | 54c | 3,000$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Astralis | 55c | 2,973$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.49 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 49c | 2,707$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.92 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked NIP | 37c | 2,620$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.6 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Astralis | 45c | 2,600$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Astralis | 40c | 2,550$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Astralis | 59c | 2,443$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.23 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked NIP | 36c | 2,399$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.31 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed NIP | 36c | 2,396$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.44 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 46c | 2,354$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.42 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked NIP | 42c | 2,315$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 65c | 2,193$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.51 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked NIP | 47c | 2,110$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.89 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Astralis | 54c | 2,101$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.64 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Astralis | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed NIP | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Astralis | 2c | 1,959$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Astralis | 64c | 1,926$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.82 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked NIP | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.2 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NIP | 36c | 1,860$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.38 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Astralis | 41c | 1,775$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.3 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed NIP | 56c | 1,741$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.16 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Astralis | 63c | 1,736$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.47 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Astralis | 59c | 1,708$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…315dbacked Astralis | 35c | 1,708$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed Astralis | 67c | 1,536$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Astralis | 36c | 1,504$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.05 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Astralis | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed NIP | 38c | 1,425$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.86 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NIP | 61c | 1,400$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked NIP | 39c | 1,350$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.49 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked NIP | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astralis | 70c | 1,287$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.14 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Astralis | 72c | 1,230$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.64 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked NIP | 37c | 1,226$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.61 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…ff64backed Astralis | 45c | 1,211$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Astralis | 37c | 1,176$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed NIP | 52c | 1,145$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.17 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed NIP | 40c | 1,130$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.99 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Astralis | 48c | 1,118$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.51 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked NIP | 40c | 1,100$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Astralis | 64c | 1,097$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed NIP | 68c | 1,063$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…1c7dbacked Astralis | 77c | 1,045$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Astralis | 37c | 1,041$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked NIP | 48c | 1,036$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.71 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis | 44c | 1,023$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Astralis | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…421bbacked Astralis | 51c | 984.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Astralis | 50c | 961.01$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed Astralis | 33c | 940.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.4 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Astralis | 42c | 913.98$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.87 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Astralis | 58c | 873.07$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.38 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Astralis | 65c | 869.34$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.8 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astralis | 39c | 800.81$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.