CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1535d38e067772f841cf56f89cf6fbc2aaff4ec08416ae59af751300fd9e3a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 47c | 44,680$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,680.33 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed NIP | 52c | 43,344$22,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,496.61 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed NIP | 52c | 34,560$17,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,971.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed NIP | 53c | 30,685$16,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,256.12 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 26c | 27,631$7,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,130.49 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed Astralis | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Astralis | 59c | 15,350$8,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,357.61 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 49c | 13,433$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.83 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Astralis | 80c | 12,506$9,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.59 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Astralis | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed NIP | 63c | 10,403$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.94 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Astralis | 43c | 7,500$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.72 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed NIP | 34c | 6,982$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.05 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Astralis | 49c | 6,930$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.3 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…315dbacked NIP | 44c | 6,898$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked NIP | 52c | 6,660$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.11 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 20c | 4,487$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.49 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 48c | 3,114$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed NIP | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked NIP | 23c | 2,827$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.84 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked NIP | 35c | 2,651$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.58 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Astralis | 48c | 2,401$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.72 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked NIP | 43c | 2,342$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.42 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Astralis | 80c | 2,339$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.89 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Astralis | 60c | 2,039$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.36 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NIP | 47c | 2,000$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed NIP | 62c | 1,998$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.99 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…5a7ebacked Astralis | 47c | 1,960$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Astralis | 49c | 1,834$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NIP | 57c | 1,670$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.66 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Astralis | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Astralis | 78c | 1,619$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.28 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Astralis | 70c | 1,535$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.69 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed NIP | 52c | 1,300$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.48 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed NIP | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Astralis | 49c | 1,148$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.25 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Astralis | 71c | 1,140$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed NIP | 44c | 1,040$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.55 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Astralis | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked NIP | 53c | 944$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Astralis | 47c | 934.82$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.45 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked NIP | 54c | 929.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 71c | 844.47$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed NIP | 52c | 785.67$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed NIP | 52c | 733$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 75c | 726.09$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Astralis | 49c | 724.49$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.49 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Astralis | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed NIP | 24c | 690$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.42 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed NIP | 29c | 650$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Astralis | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Astralis | 47c | 581.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.45 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Astralis | 71c | 562.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NIP | 21c | 545.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Astralis | 71c | 514.15$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Astralis | 80c | 500.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Astralis | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed NIP | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…8c90backed Astralis | 47c | 494.34$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked NIP | 53c | 474.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Astralis | 76c | 469.23$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed NIP | 39c | 437.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Astralis | 48c | 402.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed NIP | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked NIP | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed NIP | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 11c | 363$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed NIP | 49c | 360.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…4289backed NIP | 36c | 355.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf418…a37ebacked NIP | 41c | 323.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked NIP | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Astralis | 48c | 318.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Astralis | 73c | 315.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Astralis | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed NIP | 59c | 287.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Astralis | 44c | 284.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 64c | 271$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Astralis | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed NIP | 21c | 255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NIP | 39c | 254.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 69c | 249.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Astralis | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Astralis | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NIP | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked NIP | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked NIP | 29c | 190$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP | 23c | 183.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed NIP | 53c | 181.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Astralis | 48c | 174.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Astralis | 69c | 162.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…5cabbacked Astralis | 76c | 162.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed NIP | 54c | 160.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Astralis | 59c | 156.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64d…7392backed Astralis | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b17…2aa5backed NIP | 31c | 147.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked NIP | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked NIP | 34c | 139.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NIP | 12c | 133$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…0f44backed NIP | 62c | 130.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed Astralis | 76c | 118.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.