TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26fe…5a7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$429.57
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$968.81
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,705Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,045
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$1,838.43
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,302.84
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,629.6
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$517.5
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.4
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$696
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,036.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$840
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,562Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$1,058
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$669.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,712Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,712
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$771.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,038.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$848.64
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.78
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-Inbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+45%+$184.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,190.84
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$2,131.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.12
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,697Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$508.2
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,418.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,104.64
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,357.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,918.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.63
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$181.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,938.45
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$553.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$8,184
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,884.21
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,171.8
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Abacked Twisted Saints Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,414.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.