TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof FUT Esports, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,019,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,099,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,019,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 570 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1610…ae49backed Spirit46c46,074$21,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,887.0513548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FUT Esports51c34,734$17,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,830.811,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Spirit61c33,639$20,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,974.443666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed FUT Esports52c28,480$14,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,866.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed FUT Esports52c21,994$11,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,350.8112353.7%66 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Spirit54c19,012$10,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,816.4516142.9%69 W · 92 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit57c17,786$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,686.1232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed FUT Esports41c15,000$6,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.35240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4002…b012backed FUT Esports38c13,947$5,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,346.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports40c13,841$5,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,513.2875758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit48c12,740$6,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,669.7339064.4%251 W · 139 L+47.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FUT Esports51c10,284$5,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,283.981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed FUT Esports49c10,125$4,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Spirit60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0004650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit62c9,234$5,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.2746149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed Spirit60c8,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2003250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit58c7,943$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.9317062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports45c7,701$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.311,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked FUT Esports42c7,128$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3708…b397backed FUT Esports45c7,020$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Spirit63c6,300$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3313647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FUT Esports38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9855236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3936…6e40backed FUT Esports5c5,645$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.781827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+340.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Spirit60c5,640$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.989855.1%54 W · 44 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed FUT Esports46c5,559$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.6610056%56 W · 44 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Spirit46c5,472$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.65267.3%35 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked FUT Esports45c5,273$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.5616946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit46c5,020$2,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.41,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked Spirit55c4,205$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.2511650%58 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked FUT Esports45c4,074$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.392766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Spirit62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.2629449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…72e7backed Spirit40c3,979$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Spirit48c3,973$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.1787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spirit20c3,967$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.592,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked FUT Esports39c3,721$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.211947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a06…52c2backed Spirit58c3,668$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit55c3,524$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,584.862,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit61c3,523$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.682,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked FUT Esports39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36527041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked FUT Esports47c3,471$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.3459839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Spirit43c3,454$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.9718837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc97d…89d7backed Spirit61c3,434$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.882147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit55c3,330$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.2367645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed FUT Esports38c3,208$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.9454732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed FUT Esports43c3,179$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.1311341.6%47 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Spirit49c2,960$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.6717737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ce1…f3aabacked Spirit67c2,822$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.621947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…361fbacked Spirit56c2,755$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fe…5a7ebacked Spirit60c2,620$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec2…82babacked FUT Esports37c2,617$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.863839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spirit50c2,543$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.1948548.7%236 W · 249 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit37c2,501$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.393,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1570…1404backed Spirit62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9502835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed FUT Esports38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9508652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Spirit46c2,492$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.8672644.4%322 W · 404 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed FUT Esports38c2,483$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.793033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FUT Esports68c2,459$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.042,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked FUT Esports48c2,364$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1308741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Spirit45c2,300$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.141947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Spirit51c2,273$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.665,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Spirit60c2,237$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.8217761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FUT Esports38c2,220$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.322129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Spirit46c2,195$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.2714147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit58c2,100$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88875145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FUT Esports41c2,057$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8341,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Spirit46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0808562.4%53 W · 32 L+14.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed FUT Esports51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02011740.2%47 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked FUT Esports76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5205451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fc2…9876backed FUT Esports42c2,000$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8421752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked FUT Esports50c1,995$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.2938054.5%207 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit36c1,969$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.793,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit54c1,962$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.572153.7%387 W · 334 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Spirit51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.412451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed FUT Esports39c1,954$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.2550846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Spirit64c1,932$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.2138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked Spirit39c1,835$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.35837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed FUT Esports78c1,800$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4048564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed FUT Esports39c1,758$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.544833.3%16 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed FUT Esports46c1,723$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked Spirit61c1,700$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6635534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Spirit57c1,700$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9960748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed FUT Esports51c1,684$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8597247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed FUT Esports39c1,671$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.0926939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed Spirit51c1,659$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.395446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed FUT Esports45c1,658$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FUT Esports52c1,640$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.4637157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed FUT Esports40c1,639$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.988946.1%41 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed Spirit61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3415150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ef…abd6backed Spirit61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit63c1,620$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3613065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Spirit62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.923658.5%138 W · 98 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked FUT Esports56c1,550$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.9913315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd25f…eab3backed Spirit48c1,501$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.224250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed FUT Esports53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7952236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed FUT Esports37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55537145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FUT Esports36c1,498$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3741040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked FUT Esports15c1,494$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6710921.1%23 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7811…6e14backed Spirit41c1,485$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.4316442.7%70 W · 94 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b0…2aaebacked Spirit63c1,471$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.265451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Spirit46c1,450$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.547439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.