CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115a5289db8514346742427b288ba7a198a197aca7f74e2192d5fcc50029a2d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Under | 31c | 26,420$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,296.62 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 68c | 20,103$13,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,336 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 69c | 6,785$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.81 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 35c | 3,000$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.1 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 32c | 2,364$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.72 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 69c | 2,138$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.33 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Under | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 15c | 1,810$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 67c | 1,284$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.72 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 30c | 1,252$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.97 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Over | 65c | 1,192$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.28 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 67c | 1,181$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.78 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 64c | 985.31$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.71 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 70c | 857.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 31c | 815.37$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.76 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 30c | 775.08$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 33c | 641.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.84 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 69c | 510$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Over | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 31c | 499.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…50b4backed Over | 70c | 488.3$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Under | 31c | 403.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 653 | 46.9%306 W · 347 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 32c | 376.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 76c | 358.85$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over | 67c | 313.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 70c | 277.79$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 17c | 247.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 38c | 241.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed Under | 34c | 231.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 62c | 231.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Under | 31c | 208.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 33c | 197$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed Over | 70c | 170.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 31c | 161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Under | 31c | 145.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 142.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Under | 32c | 126.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 31c | 112.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…10d7backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 30c | 96.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…282cbacked Over | 70c | 94.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 68c | 87.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 70c | 77.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b6…d6d4backed Over | 69c | 71.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…f33bbacked Over | 69c | 71.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 30c | 69.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Under | 34c | 55.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 31c | 52.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…a4f2backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Over | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 232 | 65.1%151 W · 81 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Over | 66c | 45.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 69c | 45.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Over | 69c | 41.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…1162backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Over | 70c | 41.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 70c | 41.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 252 | 52%131 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2a11backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…f8bbbacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 336 | 69.6%234 W · 102 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…a87fbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.