CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f05bb55f81626b3f95662f2a3a4d23ca4691a701689ded859e57fdc7da1ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 30c | 2,500$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed Under | 72c | 1,670$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.6 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Over | 28c | 1,368$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 68c | 1,275$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.4 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 70c | 1,199$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Under | 57c | 868.19$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.26 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 51c | 577.51$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 32c | 562.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.01 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 32c | 494.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 68c | 468.75$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…c77cbacked Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 386.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Under | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 60c | 341.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Under | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 43c | 300.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 34c | 294.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 53c | 240.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…4c3abacked Over | 35c | 203.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 201.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 47c | 149.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 49c | 142.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…282cbacked Under | 63c | 120.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 68c | 105.49$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 35c | 101.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Under | 59c | 96.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked Under | 68c | 83.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 166 | 64.5%107 W · 59 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…04a5backed Over | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 257 | 51.4%132 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Over | 38c | 70.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 67c | 59.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…6fcdbacked Over | 27c | 54.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Under | 68c | 51.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 49.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 33c | 49.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 61c | 41.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…80a3backed Under | 69c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Under | 56c | 26.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Over | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 52c | 19.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.