CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08e42d26024920c58aa944dae4183f2505a7b6917b23cbbae8de58adffcaab46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed FUT Esports | 45c | 164,650$74,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,692.32 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Spirit | 56c | 45,839$25,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,169.08 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed FUT Esports | 44c | 27,901$12,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,276.29 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Spirit | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Spirit | 56c | 14,000$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,095 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Spirit | 58c | 13,800$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,798.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Spirit | 58c | 13,611$7,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,716.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 12,039$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.1 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.99 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 8,502$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.61 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 36c | 8,433$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.09 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 56c | 7,700$4,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,388 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Spirit | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked FUT Esports | 44c | 6,835$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.31 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Spirit | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Spirit | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…e3d3backed FUT Esports | 44c | 4,423$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…1528backed Spirit | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Spirit | 53c | 3,195$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.79 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked FUT Esports | 27c | 3,020$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.4 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spirit | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Spirit | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.03 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Spirit | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Spirit | 71c | 2,673$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.83 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Spirit | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 236 | 58.5%138 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.99 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Spirit | 58c | 2,447$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.92 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Spirit | 58c | 2,379$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.33 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports | 45c | 2,265$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.95 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed FUT Esports | 69c | 2,129$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.85 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Spirit | 58c | 2,107$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.94 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spirit | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Spirit | 54c | 1,887$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.29 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Spirit | 58c | 1,790$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.94 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Spirit | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…ead4backed Spirit | 29c | 1,699$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.56 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Spirit | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Spirit | 57c | 1,415$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.45 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed Spirit | 53c | 1,283$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.04 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed FUT Esports | 32c | 1,213$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Spirit | 54c | 1,124$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.17 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Spirit | 53c | 1,009$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.76 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Spirit | 52c | 1,005$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +147%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed FUT Esports | 42c | 952.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed FUT Esports | 46c | 869.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Spirit | 58c | 862.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Spirit | 58c | 862.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.24 | 86 | 14%12 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed Spirit | 46c | 852.49$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.87 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Spirit | 58c | 848.28$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.28 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked Spirit | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Spirit | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 724.29$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed FUT Esports | 40c | 720.75$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.3 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…7f26backed Spirit | 59c | 680.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Spirit | 57c | 666.66$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.66 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FUT Esports | 39c | 644.26$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 684 | 53.8%368 W · 316 L | -22.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Spirit | 68c | 555$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed Spirit | 57c | 549.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4298…e257backed FUT Esports | 46c | 545$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FUT Esports | 61c | 533.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 680 | 59.3%403 W · 277 L | +64.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Spirit | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Spirit | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Spirit | 47c | 500$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.05 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Spirit | 42c | 476.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 470.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Spirit | 57c | 469.58$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Spirit | 57c | 462$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FUT Esports | 47c | 460.13$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.43 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Spirit | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 434.78$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.78 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed FUT Esports | 43c | 419.07$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Spirit | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 449 | 44.8%201 W · 248 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed FUT Esports | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Spirit | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Spirit | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Spirit | 42c | 399.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Spirit | 58c | 384.48$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Spirit | 60c | 377.48$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed Spirit | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 370$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Spirit | 55c | 365$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed FUT Esports | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed FUT Esports | 43c | 358.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Spirit | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 213 | 62.4%133 W · 80 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Spirit | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Spirit | 58c | 343.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Spirit | 58c | 340$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed Spirit | 57c | 333.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed Spirit | 60c | 318.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Spirit | 53c | 311.55$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Spirit | 58c | 303.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…11f8backed Spirit | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit | 57c | 279.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 4 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.