TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9345…0afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT15363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 153 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$201.92
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$78.81
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.17
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$79.29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$58.86
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$81.82
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$52.92
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$41.56
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.89
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.84
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.77
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$27.2
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$107.89
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.55
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.41
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.69
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$326
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Showing 25 of 153 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick62cpaid-60.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.91
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.62
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.26
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.34
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$130.92
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$69.49
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$71.15
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Madrid Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Martin Dammbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$366.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.