Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ded6bee422daba3a00f8c29d96aeb3e1840b5608f3598012008da27910a54eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Auger-Aliassime, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blockx | 48c | 2,111$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.03 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 1,351$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Blockx | 55c | 1,094$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.6 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blockx | 49c | 708.14$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.94 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Blockx | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 533.74$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…7d86backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 514.81$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.14 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Blockx | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 476.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 422.71$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 42c | 386.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.42 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Blockx | 51c | 339.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 319.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Blockx | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 287.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Blockx | 53c | 275.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 260.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Blockx | 49c | 212.75$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…4455backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 194.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blockx | 45c | 180.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…758bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 170.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 169.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 119.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…4c5abacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 105.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 102.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Blockx | 52c | 97.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Blockx | 54c | 90.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Blockx | 52c | 74.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 62cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 60.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 58.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Blockx | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 51.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 46.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 33.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Blockx | 45c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 26.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blockx | 50c | 22.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…d883backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 22.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Blockx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Blockx vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Blockx vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Blockx vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Blockx vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-AliassimeAlexander Blockx won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs Auger-AliassimeBlockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.