TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Under51c60,462$30,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,835.8219754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,599.8625248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c50,274$24,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,658.4769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over49c33,412$16,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,040.216846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c9,615$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa434…e508backed Under0c8,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c7,500$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over49c6,122$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.457963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c4,726$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.2648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c4,294$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.911,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0406457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c3,388$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.691,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Over49c3,022$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.078154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.924362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c2,458$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8229635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c2,029$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.231,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Over49c1,731$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.8412645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c1,691$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.0565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c1,551$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.028450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71433945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c1,279$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.212,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Under51c1,029$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.276238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under51c1,021$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7118345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49027246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50041753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c949.54$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c773.37$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over49c699.04$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.5118650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c696.01$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under52c695.33$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.5732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30014254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c578.28$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over49c534.08$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.388850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Over49c530$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under52c499.54$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7636852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over22c450$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3513444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over49c424.49$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4928838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c419.77$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.12259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over50c409.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9814155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1627549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.167146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1612542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f68…ef58backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc174…b757backed Over49c402.12$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.082157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over12c389.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9418835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010052%52 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e83…b22fbacked Under52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over48c384$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over53c374.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Over49c326.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.532360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Over46c307.02$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.822755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd68b…c39cbacked Over49c300.61$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.311050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Over49c300.02$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.012857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a22…3652backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over49c275.67$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5922349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under49c270.08$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3444347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under49c259.48$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f63…89f3backed Over49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over50c246$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1236659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa864…e47bbacked Over50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over49c228.57$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5712149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under44c216.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa31d…df8abacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088839.8%35 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089537.9%36 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over49c199.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9420350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3629352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over49c178.73$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1512254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over49c173.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7434850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Under52c172.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7915352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under52c170$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.423650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Over27c167.17$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.465343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c165.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.821,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under50c159.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over25c157.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6313036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over51c157.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0318743.3%81 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Over49c153.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.061741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x444d…88cabacked Over50c141.24$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6025846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01b6…48ccbacked Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.21275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under52c112$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.249046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…9c8dbacked Over50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c61…5d06backed Over50c102.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.725145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c102.34$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.393,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under50c102.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0424159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0416555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.983857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.