TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No50c1,247$623 inLost-$623.4750346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes50c1,024$512 inWon+$51217047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No48c1,000$480 inLost-$4802,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon+$48025657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes51c399.98$204 inWon+$195.9914450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked No49c397.96$195 inLost-$19524949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No49c221.37$108 inLost-$108.4776247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes51c196.37$100 inWon+$96.379353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes50c175$88 inWon+$87.57536%27 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No48c99.99$48 inLost-$4856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa60…3f39backed Yes53c75.9$40 inWon+$35.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No47c53.41$25 inLost-$25.11,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…3216backed Yes51c40$20 inWon+$19.66642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Yes52c38.27$20 inWon+$18.375251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed No48c29.94$14 inLost-$14.3712347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No49c29.9$15 inLost-$14.6533556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76a4…6207backed Yes51c20.2$10 inWon+$9.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes52c20$10 inWon+$9.613764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e9b…9c7cbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon+$10683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.