NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1e279e2caee575cf4bd9c42d9097986676df45a70c4f52b5d2b8a782727c08f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 47c | 16,765$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,922.77 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Over | 52c | 7,746$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.85 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 6,827$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.11 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 5,943$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…8606backed Under | 53c | 5,227$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…755bbacked Under | 53c | 4,767$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.76 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 4,459$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.53 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Under | 55c | 4,307$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 3,979$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 56c | 3,941$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 3,819$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.25 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 3,697$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.8 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 3,090$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.13 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,521$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.96 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 46c | 2,125$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Over | 44c | 2,107$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.14 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Under | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.73 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 47c | 1,722$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.25 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 45c | 1,622$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.22 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Under | 53c | 1,567$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 47c | 1,506$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.82 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…4976backed Under | 52c | 1,426$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 1,118$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.76 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Under | 51c | 1,072$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.8 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…23e1backed Under | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 951.54$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Under | 52c | 916.56$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Under | 58c | 854.26$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 810$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.9 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 42c | 807.87$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.82 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 46c | 800$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 53c | 781.6$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 64c | 780.33$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.94 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 54c | 760.25$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.98 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 41c | 725.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.89 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 689.08$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.96 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 683.56$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.06 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 33c | 598.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.26 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…eceabacked Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Under | 53c | 561.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 44c | 556.24$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.85 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Under | 55c | 518.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 36c | 436.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Over | 46c | 419.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 52c | 398.08$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Over | 44c | 394.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 45c | 394$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 383.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 381.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 65c | 373$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 39c | 365$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 55c | 363.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 358.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 67c | 337.25$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed Under | 61c | 331.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 50c | 323.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 35c | 321.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Over | 49c | 291$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Under | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 53c | 269.95$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Under | 75c | 268$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 44c | 254.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Over | 48c | 249.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Under | 62c | 240.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 55c | 224.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 211.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Under | 61c | 207.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Over | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…cac7backed Under | 73c | 192.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…e26abacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…0e49backed Over | 45c | 182.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 37c | 176.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.