TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,598 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over47c25,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,25034456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over47c16,765$7,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,922.7721549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,95020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Over52c7,746$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,735.856357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c6,827$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.111,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c5,943$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.792,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a84…8606backed Under53c5,227$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…755bbacked Under53c4,767$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over44c4,546$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.7647856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c4,459$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.5384342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Under55c4,307$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.111850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c3,979$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Under56c3,941$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2227452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under55c3,819$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.2564651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c3,697$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over20c3,090$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.132,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Over44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6802343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,521$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over46c2,125$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.96448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over44c2,107$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.1416039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Under75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.733154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9911153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c1,722$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.2564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over45c1,622$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.225743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Under53c1,567$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.3212247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c1,506$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.8268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a26…4976backed Under52c1,426$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7351540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.7611556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c1,118$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.763,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Under51c1,072$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.814042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,041$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.316,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3864…23e1backed Under54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51015650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4908148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c951.54$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.392,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked Under52c916.56$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under58c854.26$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.984245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c810$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over42c807.87$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.8230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over46c800$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43511437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under53c781.6$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41412451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under64c780.33$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over54c760.25$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.9876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over41c725.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c689.08$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over46c683.56$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.0662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under55c636.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31835546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Over33c598.81$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.265343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa663…eceabacked Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Under53c561.64$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2993330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over44c556.24$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under55c518.18$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28511850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Under54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over36c436.41$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.811,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Over46c419.57$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.572650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under52c398.08$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20739864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x154e…7a37backed Over44c394.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.191020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed Over45c394$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.77237.5%27 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over39c383.59$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c381.55$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under65c373$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4521574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over39c365$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under55c363.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over43c358.55$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under67c337.25$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de1…8f45backed Under61c331.35$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.121353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under50c323.42$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.718354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over35c321.56$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15030641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Over49c291$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.813148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Under54c275$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.54540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under53c269.95$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.395343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12cb…4fe3backed Under75c268$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001662.5%10 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over44c254.37$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over48c249.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.616048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Under62c240.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.617835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2925850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under55c224.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.67451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c211.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under61c207.73$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.46543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Under67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13435532.4%115 W · 240 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11220350.2%102 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d5…cac7backed Under73c192.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b11…0e49backed Over45c182.22$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.223063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+45.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over37c176.84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8111057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.