NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa124e8289f9ace7b150abed891d60843694109d91ddfb6e6d35c5ff07e28834a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 2,129$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 56c | 1,799$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 50c | 1,580$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 892.08$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.51 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 41c | 885.18$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.92 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 62c | 720.5$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.72 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 521.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 512.02$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 57c | 495.34$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 42c | 375$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Over | 25c | 365.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Over | 52c | 330$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 255.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 199.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 64c | 195.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…2b7bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed Over | 51c | 141.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 55c | 130.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 24c | 116.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Over | 36c | 108.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 37c | 76.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b29…556ebacked Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…7bdcbacked Over | 49c | 57.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 63c | 56.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 39c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 53c | 51.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Over | 52c | 47.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…628fbacked Under | 48c | 40.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…96febacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…98d9backed Under | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 37c | 37.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed Over | 54c | 36.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 33.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 31.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…6e43backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 23.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Raptors vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 200.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.