TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Ja'Kobe Walter: Points O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeb68…a1f1backed Yes51c175$89 inWon+$85.757536%27 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No49c160.58$79 inLost-$78.6276247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Yes50c150$75 inWon+$752259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No50c145$73 inLost-$72.59947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No49c107.84$53 inLost-$52.841,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…c30ebacked Yes51c107.84$55 inWon+$52.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No49c49.98$24 inLost-$24.4943752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes33c34.56$11 inWon+$23.1176054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2c…3fb4backed Yes51c21.57$11 inWon+$10.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed No52c19.93$10 inLost-$10.3612347.2%58 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No67c15.17$10 inLost-$10.1421056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.