TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd22f…c30e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.33
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.88
Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs Hanfmannbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.27
Brooksby vs. Baez: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
Francavilla: Harry Wendelken vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.31
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.7
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$9.22
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.48
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.75
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.56
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+102%+$29.65
Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.52
Rome: Cezar Cretu vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Gwangju: Alex Bolt vs Ilia Simakinbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Santa Cruz: Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.57
Santa Cruz: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coriabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.54
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.66
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.39
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.6
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.27
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.15
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$83.47
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$95.04
Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will Racing Club vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$50.96
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+349.4%+$50.53
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.18
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.