South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13ab376cc0003437b18be0cc63c9a31e149d5562d1ca3cd50d75b36d11871645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 35c | 28,746$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,746.37 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 9,621$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 8,703$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 6,178$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 5,323$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489.61 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Yes | 35c | 3,341$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 14c | 2,745$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.73 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 2,006$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.1 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 1,899$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.03 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 1,705$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.55 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 14c | 1,611$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.45 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 49c | 1,154$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.59 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 65c | 987.61$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.95 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 29c | 973.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 67c | 958.46$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.17 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 800$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.45 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 34c | 788.24$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.24 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 67c | 750.69$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.96 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…7cbebacked No | 5c | 712.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 680.09$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.82 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 67c | 644.27$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.66 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 639.27$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.69 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 622.35$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 43c | 564.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.81 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Yes | 41c | 477.17$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.33 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 65c | 461.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3b…52afbacked Yes | 34c | 450.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 430.6$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.71 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 32c | 422.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 73c | 408.55$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 400.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.3 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 400.09$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 356.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 36c | 338.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 66c | 324$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed No | 67c | 306.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 30c | 302.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 66c | 299.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 34c | 297.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 291$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…ae23backed Yes | 27c | 277$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Yes | 27c | 277$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 35c | 265.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 26c | 263.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 259.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 66c | 210.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 40c | 198.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Yes | 25c | 197.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 26c | 189.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed No | 64c | 183.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 23c | 174.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 45c | 166.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 153.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…c30ebacked Yes | 34c | 144$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 143.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1481…3ff0backed Yes | 33c | 137.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 31c | 130.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 26c | 128$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 41c | 116.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 67c | 104.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 75c | 99.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 55c | 99.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 66c | 97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 34c | 89.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Yes | 16c | 88.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 25c | 83.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed Yes | 26c | 79.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 77.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5d…67b4backed No | 67c | 73.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked No | 75c | 72.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 69c | 70.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 29c | 63.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 58c | 61.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 79c | 58.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 66c | 57.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…57d6backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…d2d3backed Yes | 25c | 47.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked No | 69c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.