South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88d0c7d5f2c502c5e07952ceb1d615d43d3001dedb31400451fb9c0da6f82b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 36c | 3,127$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.91 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 39c | 1,782$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.88 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 65c | 907.69$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.69 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 73c | 768.24$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.21 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 732.53$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 30c | 730.19$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 673.07$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 625.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 589.79$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.32 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…ae23backed Yes | 36c | 526$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e3…e438backed Yes | 35c | 526$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +160%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked No | 77c | 515.18$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 7c | 499.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked No | 66c | 446.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 394.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 33c | 356.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 323.11$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 36c | 269.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2df9backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Yes | 35c | 263$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 25c | 237.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed No | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 7c | 211.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 151.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 35c | 144.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 71c | 141.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed No | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 137.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 137.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…0593backed No | 68c | 105.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 66c | 89.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 53c | 86.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 80.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 77.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 24c | 72.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…57d6backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 48 | 85.4%41 W · 7 L | +8.5wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 65.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 62.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 51.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 64c | 48.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 43c | 46.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa2…fecdbacked Yes | 27c | 42.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 67c | 37.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…5118backed Yes | 34c | 35.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 35c | 33.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Yes | 34c | 29.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaf…106ebacked Yes | 46c | 27.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…7aadbacked No | 65c | 26.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked No | 70c | 26.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 73c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 65c | 23.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 66c | 22.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…b2f3backed No | 68c | 21.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.