South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x765610c3f79177a1287e9c6ce980476bb5d8aeffc4d83b6515b675a78a0073f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 37c | 3,038$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.68 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 69c | 2,195$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.61 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,384$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.03 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…79c6backed Yes | 74c | 1,216$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 63c | 1,172$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.47 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 1,092$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.64 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 1,070$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.41 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 1,024$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 938.39$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.27 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 44c | 485$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 390.73$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.28 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…892fbacked Yes | 37c | 390$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 65c | 314.19$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 277$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 251.78$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 80c | 249$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked No | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…ebf8backed No | 27c | 199.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 64c | 130.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 115.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 105.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 66c | 103.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 56c | 101.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 97.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 69c | 92.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 87.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 84.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 71c | 83.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 25c | 79.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 72c | 52.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 50.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 47c | 44.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 45c | 35.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 64c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 63c | 24.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 59c | 23.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.