TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rome: Cezar Cretu vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cezar Cretuof Cezar Cretu, Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu58c4,770$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.768,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert8c3,277$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.322,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert35c2,653$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.3954345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cezar Cretu69c1,568$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.667,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert50c1,508$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.792,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4868026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert42c1,151$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.658,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert42c956.03$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.531,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Cezar Cretu79c900.07$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.075,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cezar Cretu76c591.36$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9385348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert11c574.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.814,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Cezar Cretu51c566.69$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4418133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert21c546.96$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7338013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Cezar Cretu54c537.68$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9122248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert42c478$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7660355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert49c431.37$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.377541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cezar Cretu51c418.69$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.161,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1229444.2%130 W · 164 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert48c376.27$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.617250%36 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert9c346.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210428.8%30 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Cezar Cretu48c329.25$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2197141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert48c303.83$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8485250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert48c242.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2636852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert51c240.55$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.461,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc4…143cbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert52c224.12$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.545251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Cezar Cretu49c218.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.245158.8%30 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Cezar Cretu49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10260856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…55d3backed Cezar Cretu76c153.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.955267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert8c151.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1256827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cezar Cretu55c150.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.679,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Cezar Cretu49c142.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2449142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Cezar Cretu49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.434154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Cezar Cretu49c130.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6639534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert44c129.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7725134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Cezar Cretu70c124.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.966,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert27c111.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9912853.9%69 W · 59 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa41…2239backed Cezar Cretu54c105.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7715751%80 W · 77 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert24c103.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5722113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert11c102.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2515641.7%65 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert50c77.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.361,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert16c73.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.977,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Cezar Cretu75c71.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9642358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Cezar Cretu71c62.28$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0636264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Cezar Cretu52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.810751.4%55 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.142,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Cezar Cretu79c54.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6937058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc060…8956backed Cezar Cretu79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57353.4%39 W · 34 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Cezar Cretu52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9925745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Cezar Cretu49c49.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2130349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Cezar Cretu75c49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3691880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9274955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert49c45.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.081,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert42c38.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.118066.3%53 W · 27 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert42c36.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3378350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc09…f937backed Cezar Cretu49c35.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.025543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Cezar Cretu55c35.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8112070%84 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert42c34.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4815937.7%60 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Cezar Cretu75c32.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2110742.1%45 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Cezar Cretu77c32.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.531463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…db25backed Cezar Cretu47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.926933.3%23 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert42c30.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Cezar Cretu49c30.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.520270.8%143 W · 59 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.583047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert50c29.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.642344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd22f…c30ebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Pierre-Hugues Herbert44c24.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.99650%48 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cezar Cretu47c24.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.84,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Cezar Cretu52c22.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9453544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cezar Cretu75c21.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.426,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d1…664abacked Cezar Cretu67c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.872857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Cezar Cretu49c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4166452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Cezar Cretu75c20.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0357267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert51c20.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Cezar Cretu52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.613553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Cezar Cretu52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3290340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Cezar Cretu76c15.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.611,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Cezar Cretu76c14.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.421,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.