TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf46f…55d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT5267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$4.08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Francavilla: Max Schoenhaus vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.9
Santos: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Jose Pereirabacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Francavilla: Martin Krumich vs Gabriele Pirainobacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Francavilla: Facundo Acosta vs Henry Bernetbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Tomas Barriosbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokudabacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$10.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jacopo Vasami vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Aix en Provence: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47.14
La Bisbal: Caroline Werner vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jongbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$25.21
Cagliari: Cristian Garin vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.71
Jiujiang: Fajing Sun vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+170%+$39.93
Huzhou: Anastasia Zolotareva vs Chengyiyi Yuanbacked Anastasia Zolotareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$117.41
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$291.9
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$183.33
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$135.83
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.1
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$129.26
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$202.54
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$29.29
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.73
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$34.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.