TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Renta Tokuda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mark Lajalof Mark Lajal, Renta Tokuda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Mark Lajal66c5,565$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.224,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Mark Lajal57c4,356$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.7234047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Renta Tokuda39c3,540$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.9680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Renta Tokuda43c2,672$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.978,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mark Lajal76c2,644$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.714,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Renta Tokuda21c1,639$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.839839.8%39 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Renta Tokuda32c1,084$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2435932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Renta Tokuda23c925.86$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.92,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de1…8f45backed Mark Lajal72c900$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522572%18 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Renta Tokuda16c892.39$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.146,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Renta Tokuda24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Renta Tokuda34c746.12$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.859,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mark Lajal71c717.87$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.175,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Renta Tokuda24c678.57$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.861,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Mark Lajal67c655.03$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.162572%18 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Renta Tokuda17c640.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Mark Lajal75c592.75$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.241060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Renta Tokuda27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.122,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Renta Tokuda49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24532050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Mark Lajal73c451.02$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7856757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Renta Tokuda28c381.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.548640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mark Lajal62c376.22$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Renta Tokuda35c349.35$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.94,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Renta Tokuda24c327.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Renta Tokuda18c314.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Renta Tokuda24c296.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.547,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Renta Tokuda26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Renta Tokuda25c225.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3469253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mark Lajal67c202.57$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.143,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Mark Lajal75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Mark Lajal70c192.64$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6484968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked Mark Lajal74c181.8$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.86573.8%48 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Renta Tokuda11c162.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.883,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mark Lajal72c139.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.246,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Mark Lajal74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Mark Lajal61c124.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Mark Lajal61c124.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.491,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Renta Tokuda26c124.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3127733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed Mark Lajal74c121.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.627968.4%54 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed Renta Tokuda13c112.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.714334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Renta Tokuda17c104.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3728348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Mark Lajal74c100.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2525957.1%148 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Mark Lajal71c100.27$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7483047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Mark Lajal54c92.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3463052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Mark Lajal74c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.434761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Renta Tokuda28c85.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8874346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Renta Tokuda33c79.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2313557.8%78 W · 57 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Renta Tokuda34c76.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.033,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Renta Tokuda24c76.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.357,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Renta Tokuda21c75.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.761,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac7…ca76backed Renta Tokuda28c70.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.443234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Mark Lajal61c69.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3260355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb379…7095backed Mark Lajal75c67.97$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.971978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Mark Lajal65c65.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2478350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Renta Tokuda25c60.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0375262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Mark Lajal63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.274955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Renta Tokuda43c55.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.989628.1%27 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Renta Tokuda27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157473%54 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Renta Tokuda38c55.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0454345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Mark Lajal55c53.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2720957.9%121 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Renta Tokuda34c52.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7756817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Mark Lajal72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1433364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Mark Lajal72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Renta Tokuda27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Mark Lajal78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1127755.6%154 W · 123 L-1.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Mark Lajal73c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Renta Tokuda25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Renta Tokuda25c49.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5626047.3%123 W · 137 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4773…fd83backed Mark Lajal75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Mark Lajal73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.188560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Mark Lajal79c41.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Mark Lajal60c40.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.438447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb6…008fbacked Renta Tokuda26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-79.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cb…95c4backed Mark Lajal75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Mark Lajal80c37.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6418033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Renta Tokuda27c37.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Renta Tokuda27c37.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0290340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mark Lajal74c36.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…55d3backed Mark Lajal70c35.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.585267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2f…bf2bbacked Mark Lajal75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Mark Lajal71c26.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8431563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Mark Lajal65c23.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111440.4%46 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Mark Lajal75c21.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3825763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Mark Lajal62c20.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8715146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e00…05a1backed Mark Lajal77c20.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.731346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…c990backed Mark Lajal76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.88572.9%62 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…0afdbacked Mark Lajal75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Mark Lajal71c19.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7632853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Mark Lajal71c19.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a9…7c4ebacked Mark Lajal74c18.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86863.2%43 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Mark Lajal67c17.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.917460.3%105 W · 69 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Mark Lajal74c16.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2297745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Mark Lajal66c15.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2637156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Mark Lajal73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.058554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mark Lajal77c14.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.392,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Mark Lajal75c13.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4721259.4%126 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.