TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ac7…ca76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.04
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Hugo Dellienbacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Marat Sharipovbacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.4
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.53
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$76.63
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignonbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$45.16
Valencia: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Leolia Jeanjean vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navonebacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Lisa Zaar vs Alana Smithbacked Alana Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$71.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmanebacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Wilson Leitebacked Luis Guto Miguel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.12
Brazzaville: Matyas Cerny vs Bor Artnakbacked Matyas Cerny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$39.96
Brazzaville: Brandon Perez vs Younes Laaroussibacked Brandon Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Set Handicap: Comesana (-1.5) vs Riedi (+1.5)backed Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$30.76
Washington Mystics vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$31.34
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.65
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$97.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$25.3
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$204.3
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Burgosbacked Burgos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.