WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacfc491d17299506bbbbcfa4c886e691fd90d9c88e612554727939ca0c1c4bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Minnesota Lynx, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 6,588$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.87 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 4,012$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.23 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 2,531$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 2,478$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 2,055$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.41 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,214$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.11 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 889$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.17 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 381.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 325.11$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 304.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 208.9$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 115.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 75.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 74.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 72.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 58.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 51.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…ca76backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…1c90backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 37.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 26.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 25.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…e0e2backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd70…25ddbacked Chicago Sky | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota LynxChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.