WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f329895642f05eb84bf6d569c034ad3ffcda6c8cf498b1c8bc307275301d1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 7,104$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.12 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Over | 47c | 4,017$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 47c | 2,762$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.14 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 45c | 735.58$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 414.01$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.81 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Under | 55c | 366$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 317.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 46c | 287.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c3…6603backed Under | 27c | 161.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Under | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Under | 56c | 31.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 47c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…44ebbacked Under | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 54c | 24.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 54c | 22.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed Under | 54c | 20.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota LynxChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.