WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887cb47e0dbaeae38e3f97ea773effcfb50608e661c59341faefccb37d060505
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Minnesota Lynx, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 13,896$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 4,968$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 3,409$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 2,613$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,702$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Chicago Sky | 57c | 795.68$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 694.8$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 586.27$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 512$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 454.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 271.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 271.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 196.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 192.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 136.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 134.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 64.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 62.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 58.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 49.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…270abacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 42.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…1c90backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fbafbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 36.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 34.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 32.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 30.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Chicago Sky | 57c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 23.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…8e90backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota LynxChicago Sky won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 169.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.