Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e8ec5543a57a254f62d6326c7abbce32f99d3b4d8a46d37f7d4e2d8ecb11ea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 2,424$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.67 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 65c | 2,320$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.71 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…fb79backed Yes | 64c | 984.38$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 868.82$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.07 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 447.56$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…79b9backed No | 36c | 438.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 65c | 410.77$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 364.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 342.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…c7e8backed Yes | 66c | 304.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 36c | 279.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 17c | 276.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 263.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 35c | 219.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 219.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes | 64c | 155.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 36c | 126.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 63c | 122$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 64c | 93.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…d3babacked Yes | 65c | 89.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3d…f1eabacked No | 40c | 85.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 64c | 77.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 65c | 77.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 67c | 59.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 35c | 55.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb22…82bbbacked Yes | 66c | 45.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked No | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 39.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 38.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Yes | 64c | 37.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…ca76backed Yes | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…6339backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 64c | 25.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…5c8dbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…98d0backed Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…9e30backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015c…0477backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…e08bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f1…2c1cbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…654bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.