Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce24e8db45f0225f6a10fce97374a65469b386592084e96a609b8746bac394f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,549$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.85 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 346.03$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 237.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 191.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 188.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 173.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 166.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 21c | 137.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Over | 23c | 110.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 79c | 106.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 60.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 50.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 21c | 47.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 55c | 39.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 34.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.