Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47d4f38448da331e533ac0eea0d8bda028be5c4eb3c891ad037412c863c8efa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Over | 63c | 2,399$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 2,376$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 1,964$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.92 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.61 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 1,283$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.05 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 1,164$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.44 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 69c | 840.5$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 648.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 38c | 520.56$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 37c | 374.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 30c | 324.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 58c | 249.98$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 63c | 238.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 38c | 221.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 193.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 189.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 62c | 167.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 38c | 108.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 41c | 103.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 97.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 87.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 62c | 80.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 37c | 77.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 61c | 73.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 66c | 65.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…c159backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…f8c7backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 69c | 42.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 39c | 32.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed Over | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 69c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…0893backed Over | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.