Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f999c1f0d62d35f6f8eb09294018d6255656f638f7c835c2627851b723b592e

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,927 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	38c	22,180$8,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,751.84	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	62c	18,757$11,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,629.18	243	49.4%120 W · 123 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	7,090$3,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,439.49	1,916	45.5%872 W · 1,044 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	57c	6,232$3,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,551.14	1,415	40.8%577 W · 838 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	40c	5,010$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,011.07	94	58.5%55 W · 39 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	42c	3,571$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,071.43	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over	41c	1,707$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.32	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	78c	1,502$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.2	266	60.5%161 W · 105 L	+25.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	59c	1,495$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.95	525	50.1%263 W · 262 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under	49c	1,021$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	188	47.9%90 W · 98 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	41c	999.99$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.99	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	60c	966.41$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.75	263	54%142 W · 121 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	59c	899.94$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.96	304	48%146 W · 158 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	42c	892.86$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.86	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	59c	833$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.47	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	80c	759$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.8	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	42c	748.9$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.57	99	20.2%20 W · 79 L	-10.4wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under	62c	666$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.71	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under	59c	606.66$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.93	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	20c	580.81$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.16	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	42c	523.81$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.81	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	72	27.8%20 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	40c	466.41$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.11	109	42.2%46 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	62c	425.54$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.83	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	21c	381$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.01	263	46.4%122 W · 141 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	59c	377.43$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.46	164	48.8%80 W · 84 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	39c	298.43$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.04	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	20c	282$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	59c	281$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.24	464	50.4%234 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	39c	255.13$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.63	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over	40c	237.5$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.5	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under	59c	237.23$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.97	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	35c	234.65$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.52	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over	78c	210.9$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.89	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	53c	183.88$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.26	331	45%149 W · 182 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over	58c	161.29$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.74	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over	41c	141.79$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.66	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	60c	130$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over	80c	123.89$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.78	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	60c	119$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	63c	103.08$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.94	380	56.6%215 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	120	39.2%47 W · 73 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	60c	88.5$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.36	183	51.4%94 W · 89 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under	60c	84.77$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.86	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	67cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	27c	84.73$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	74c	80.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.71	240	52.9%127 W · 113 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	32c	77.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.81	593	48.4%287 W · 306 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under	50c	74.32$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.22	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under	28c	72.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	46c	71.63$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.82	78	61.5%48 W · 30 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	42c	69.05$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.05	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	61c	61.83$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.46	125	56%70 W · 55 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over	40c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	60c	60$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	54c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.3	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+4.7wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+63.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over	39c	49.97$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.48	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under	59c	48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-7.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under	62c	47.48$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.44	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-4.9wins	-0.11per pick	60cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	52c	42.2$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.37	143	52.4%75 W · 68 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Over	49c	40.8$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.41per pick	39cpaid	+236.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	60c	33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-5.9wins	-0.17per pick	62cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Under	60c	32.68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under	54c	31.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under	60c	30.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	47c	29.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under	58c	28$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under	61c	27.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over	53c	27.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under	60c	26.66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…a560backed Under	62c	25.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Under	44c	24.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under	63c	23.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Over	78c	17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.74	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	74cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5this page
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event