TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf782…a560

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+50.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$20.68
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$36.85
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.08
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jongbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$9.72
Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs Rudolf Mollekerbacked Rudolf Molleker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djerebacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Aix en Provence: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Saint-Malo: Jessika Ponchet vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Jessika Ponchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+290.8%+$29.9
La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Cagliari: Mattia Bellucci vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$3.66
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+201%+$47.35
Saint-Malo: Bianca Andreescu vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$21.01
Jiujiang: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+68%+$7.01
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$13.56
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.65
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$5.67
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.69
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$12.84
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$8.92
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$12.12
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+165.8%+$21.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+118.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+111.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$9.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+145.9%+$14.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$16.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Cam Rowston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$6.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$3.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.