MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0111c2771cedf59d94d6aad877a8c9b7f9eb174eabb38eecb01e0ec85e2022e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Philadelphia Phillies, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 151,089$68,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,410.1 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 100,202$16,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,140.42 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 68,000$37,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,599.93 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 41,431$21,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,590.35 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 34,224$18,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,743.12 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 28,749$15,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,890.6 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 25,000$14,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,001.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 19,689$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 17,777$9,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.65 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 15,243$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 15,000$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,950 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 13,567$9,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,321.15 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 13,333$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,133.1 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 12,884$6,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,966.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 6,415$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.5 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 5,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.99 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 4,397$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.07 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 3,425$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.99 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 3,319$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.75 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 3,131$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.64 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 3,112$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.84 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 3,082$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.98 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Miami Marlins | 72c | 2,916$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.74 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,451$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.24 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 2,210$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 2,123$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 1,677$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,669$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.3 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,596$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 1,580$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 1,370$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,133$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 1,086$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 1,057$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 996$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…ef82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 948.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…284dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 846.41$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.42 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 824$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 747.61$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 644.49$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.47 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 619.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 79c | 569.6$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 528.59$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 511.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 510$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 485.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 480$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 467.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 448.31$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 445.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 405.34$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 398.37$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 396.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 396$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 393.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 390$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 381.67$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 368.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 344.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 343.69$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 337.84$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.03 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 329.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 329$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 324.64$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 313.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 310$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 305.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 301.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 299.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 293.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 290.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 289.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 289.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 275.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 275$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…2b6abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 266.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…82abbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 252.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 251.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.