Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f0104cba5543667a3e3fbca8e019d3a7fea2d9bfe62926b03c5b83dd9161b4

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $87,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,199 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over	55c	25,539$14,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,441.53	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	45c	12,646$5,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,690.63	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	52c	8,118$4,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,927.82	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	45c	8,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	166	52.4%87 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under	44c	4,491$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976.17	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	3,918$2,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,258.22	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over	32c	2,551$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,730.81	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+7.2wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	48c	1,600$768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	1,423$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.51	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	1,359$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.37	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over	50c	1,289$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.27	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	46c	1,156$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.71	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over	51c	1,151$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.87	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	68c	1,067$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.97	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	55c	810$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.5	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	54c	808.95$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.83	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	51c	784.31$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.31	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over	33c	708.02$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.04	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc674…dcd2backed Over	47c	685.97$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.97	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+46%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under	44c	572.01$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.81	142	54.2%77 W · 65 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under	46c	543.48$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	33c	538.2$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.63	124	60.5%75 W · 49 L	+19.9wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	49c	460$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.4	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f1…0f6bbacked Under	49c	399.99$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over	56c	358.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.14	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over	47c	343$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	31cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	49c	330.02$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.72	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under	50c	325$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under	46c	319$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.74	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	47c	305.6$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.94	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	51c	300.29$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.14	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under	45c	273$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.85	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-4.8wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under	49c	264.76$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.73	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	33c	261.8$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.06	164	64%105 W · 59 L	+28.5wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	33c	247.3$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.19	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+13.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over	55c	242.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.35	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	46c	222.46$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.33	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-36%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Over	51c	202.98$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.46	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over	53c	189.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.06	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	56c	178.75$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.75	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under	50c	174$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over	33c	161$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.87	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	47c	141.5$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.99	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-5.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over	54c	139.13$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under	44c	132.13$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.14	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	33c	120.21$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.85	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+13.0wins	+0.25per pick	52cpaid	+72%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	33c	106.06$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.06	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	84	58.3%49 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.05	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	52c	99.07$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.32	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under	46c	95.65$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	53c	92.9$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.81	531	40.7%216 W · 315 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Over	33c	90$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.3	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfece…ef64backed Under	51c	88.24$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad23…a9ccbacked Over	55c	87.27$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	54c	81.42$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.45	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under	45c	77.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.69	70	32.9%23 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	39c	76.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	49c	69.13$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	147	55.8%82 W · 65 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	49c	68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.32	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	50c	64.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.49	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	67c	64.14$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.98	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	32c	62.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.89	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over	32c	62.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.46	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	49c	62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.38	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over	33c	60.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.57	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.7wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	33c	60.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.57	160	46.9%75 W · 85 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Over	33c	59.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.96	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c15…9363backed Over	33c	59.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.83	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.67per pick	33cpaid	+203%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	61c	56.76$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.18	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Over	33c	53$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.51	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	45cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under	40c	52.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	52c	46.97$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.71	174	56.9%99 W · 75 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	37c	45.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	395	58.7%232 W · 163 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x263f…760dbacked Over	33c	45.45$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	49c	43.22$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	624	52.6%328 W · 296 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	50c	42.01$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	49c	41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	54c	39.92$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.37	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Over	55c	39.91$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.96	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf782…a560backed Over	55c	35.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.71	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over	51c	32.34$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.85	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	130	73.1%95 W · 35 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	46c	31.35$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.93	221	57%126 W · 95 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under	50c	29.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.64	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Under	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5this page
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5Over won
1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)1. FC Köln won
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)1. FC Köln won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event