TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x263f…760d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$19.41
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.56
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.5
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.81
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$15.45
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.77
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.11
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+221.2%+$29.94
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26%+$2.75
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Bbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$11.54
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$5.72
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.54
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$58.64
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+58.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$45.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jannik Sinner vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.