Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2db68a10ae4321e408eca1f886fafa69afc7441f9697cc17c396a39f2bd8c1e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 64c | 77,442$49,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,288.15 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 62c | 55,111$33,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,978.58 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 39,227$14,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,817.83 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 27,805$11,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,587.33 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 24,794$11,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,297.36 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 36c | 15,653$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.23 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 13,918$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,637.5 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 8,651$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.31 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 17c | 6,892$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.85 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.15 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 36c | 4,500$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 60c | 3,265$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.74 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 53cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 37c | 2,672$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.37 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 2,554$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.58 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed No | 39c | 1,876$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 38c | 1,681$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.02 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 1,567$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.95 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 37c | 1,433$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.9 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.9 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 50c | 1,168$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.98 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,046$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.95 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 37c | 1,029$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.22 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 27c | 910.54$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.11 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 29c | 865.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.01 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 30c | 711.39$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.68 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 37c | 704.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 39c | 689.25$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.49 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 630.91$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.25 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 610$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.94 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 36c | 519.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 60c | 507$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.55 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 37c | 500$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 36c | 474$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 43c | 469.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 52c | 451.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 439.82$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.64 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 79c | 432$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.28 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 425.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.33 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 16c | 405$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 37c | 387.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 38c | 381.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.96 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 360.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 347$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 38c | 347$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 37c | 346.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 344.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 36c | 329.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 38c | 313.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed No | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 42c | 308.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 38c | 299.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 42c | 287$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 30c | 281.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 36c | 274.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…5ddabacked No | 27c | 260.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +272.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 38c | 254.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 47c | 246.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 37c | 236.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 43c | 234.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 34c | 229.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 63c | 223.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 38c | 215.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 55c | 183.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 53c | 179.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 36c | 177.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 64c | 176.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 77c | 173.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 34c | 163.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 38c | 160$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.