Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc41bb60d63ad9a3062b5bbdccb825aa4a3e09e03be526c157df3f14084a2f08d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Nemiga Gaming, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 10,452$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.66 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed MOUZ | 80c | 7,747$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 3,738$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.52 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 3,700$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 2,799$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.78 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed MOUZ | 78c | 1,480$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 1,221$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 1,127$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 1,106$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked MOUZ | 79c | 952.49$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 675.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 563.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 520.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 515.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 512.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed MOUZ | 79c | 432.88$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 381.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 372.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed MOUZ | 79c | 303.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Nemiga Gaming | 4c | 252.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 247.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 74c | 229.37$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 226.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 222.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 219.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed MOUZ | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 194.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 182.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked MOUZ | 79c | 174.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 146.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…a60cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 123.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a9e4backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 118.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…d529backed MOUZ | 79c | 100.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 98.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed MOUZ | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 88.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 77c | 71.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…1501backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 69.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 64.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 59.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 80c | 52.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked MOUZ | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked MOUZ | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked MOUZ | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked MOUZ | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked MOUZ | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed MOUZ | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked MOUZ | 79c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Group AMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.