TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e2b…a9e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.68
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.2
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.85
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.09
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$41.92
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$15.37
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.49
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$94.22
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+221.3%+$37.51
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.44
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.93
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+224.7%+$96.93
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+132%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Casper Ruudbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+177%+$24.16
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.83
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Dammbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+277.3%+$269.92
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$170.86
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$202.22
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$102.03
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencicbacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.71
Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegulabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+2,339%+$257.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Rebecca Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$123.87
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Juan Martin vs Titouan Droguetbacked Juan Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Copa Colsanitas: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.96
All 24 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.37
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$151.41
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$84.98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.72
Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffsbacked VooDooSh Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+125.9%+$35.28
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Dota 2: Estar Backs vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.59
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$28.94
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.04
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.81
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$66.33
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.18
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.39
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.53
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$98.24
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.3
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.89
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.83
All 5 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$157.57
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.