TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Sinners, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe40e…9770backed Sinners54c31,226$16,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,861.8117951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed NRG46c21,739$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,739.1323839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG46c20,742$9,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,208.1750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Sinners46c18,433$8,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,511.9334559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked NRG44c16,139$7,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,032.077250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Sinners54c15,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,099.9376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Sinners57c14,560$8,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,323.0641040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sinners33c11,465$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.2359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed NRG45c11,120$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,11619455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed NRG44c10,022$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,564.175450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed NRG44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed NRG43c9,828$4,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,613.9210142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sinners22c8,769$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.91,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Sinners55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Sinners54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.964544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Sinners55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85023243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Sinners54c7,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.9711439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sinners56c6,593$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,682.5966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked NRG46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed NRG45c5,591$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.1133359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed NRG70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20010361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Sinners57c3,851$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.4110635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Sinners56c3,630$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.4810136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed NRG45c3,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.9811434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sinners24c2,916$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.912,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed NRG45c2,560$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40812154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG52c2,530$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.721,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NRG46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners29c2,465$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.96,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked NRG68c2,380$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.151,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Sinners21c2,355$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed NRG45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.0960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Sinners55c2,192$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.3314151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sinners26c2,018$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.963,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sinners39c2,000$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.033,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7604,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Sinners56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.993053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG47c1,893$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.8288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Sinners54c1,851$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5345639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Sinners56c1,836$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.038951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed NRG62c1,793$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6438868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf7f…79a3backed Sinners56c1,755$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG45c1,712$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.171,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed NRG45c1,650$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Sinners56c1,615$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.2535940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sinners56c1,592$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.7155843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Sinners50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Sinners31c1,425$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.221,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Sinners56c1,370$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.482740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Sinners33c1,282$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.4536440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Sinners32c1,250$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3952,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed NRG44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed NRG44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9824935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Sinners22c1,150$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8629127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aee…5808backed NRG46c1,124$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Sinners53c1,119$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.5545646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG56c1,098$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.5187047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9718…ffd8backed Sinners26c1,093$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked NRG46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9626045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Sinners2c1,054$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.738312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Sinners29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Sinners29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed NRG46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54018442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked NRG46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Sinners56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56030155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sinners56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Sinners55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9929839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked NRG46c989.41$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.2812143.8%53 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Sinners46c957.39$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.794645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked NRG46c955.46$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.527749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed NRG46c920.21$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.9113253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked NRG44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0910252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Sinners55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Sinners46c900$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41758343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Sinners56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked NRG44c888$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.281,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Sinners55c888$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed NRG48c858.23$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.4842638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed NRG44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4488748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Sinners55c790$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.523949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Sinners49c780$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.4948635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG56c774.14$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.651,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Sinners20c752.22$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7951942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Sinners56c725.27$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.159646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked NRG46c717.39$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3913938.1%53 W · 86 L-11.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed NRG46c662.7$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8626549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7205…8e0abacked Sinners56c644.94$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.1711953.8%64 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed NRG46c641.3$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.329851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed NRG45c628.67$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.7721346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked NRG50c602$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30118933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Sinners55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33032346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked NRG50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30019229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Sinners55c599.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9949849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Sinners42c590.61$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6843544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec0…9bdfbacked NRG68c580$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NRG45c550$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed NRG46c548.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3196545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked NRG45c546.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6732542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed NRG46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4814743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Sinners33c541.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.